Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksei Kunchenko vs Rustam Serbiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-5-0Record9-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
37.00Reach69"
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
New StreamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksei KunchenkoNow 1539
If they win+24→ 1563
If they lose-24→ 1515
Rustam SerbievNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1691 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
64%
Strike defense
TBD
0.25
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
81%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aleksei KunchenkoRustam Serbiev
155020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (59%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
1 (5%)
Submission
4 (44%)
8 (36%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Rustam Serbiev60%
Aleksei Kunchenko 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Serbiev a 60% favorite over Aleksei Kunchenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1540), separated by just 1 points.

Aleksei Kunchenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aleksei Kunchenko finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Serbiev 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.