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Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksei Kunchenko vs Stephen Costello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-5-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
37.00Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
New StreamTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksei KunchenkoNow 1540
If they win+24→ 1564
If they lose-24→ 1516
Stephen CostelloNow 1538
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1693 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
44%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
64%
Strike defense
Not available
0.25
Takedown avg.
Not available
33%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
81%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Aleksei KunchenkoStephen Costello
15001550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (59%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (33%)
8 (36%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksei Kunchenko52%
Stephen Costello 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksei Kunchenko a 52% favorite over Stephen Costello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1538), separated by just 2 points.

Aleksei Kunchenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aleksei Kunchenko finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Costello 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.