Aleksei Kunchenko vs Thiago Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
22-5-0Record23-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
37.00Reach70,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
New StreamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Thiago Alves is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Aleksei Kunchenko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1566
If they lose-22→ 1518
If they win+11→ 1584
If they lose-13→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1693 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aleksei KunchenkoThiago Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thiago Alves57%
Aleksei Kunchenko 43%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Alves a 57% favorite over Aleksei Kunchenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Thiago Alves holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1573 to 1540, a 33-point edge.
Aleksei Kunchenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Thiago Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aleksei Kunchenko finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Alves 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.