Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksei Oleinik vs Alikhan Vakhaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

61-18-1Record16-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'6"
80"Reach-
254 lbsWeight265 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

Alikhan Vakhaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Aleksei Oleinik carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksei OleinikNow 1722
If they win+13→ 1735
If they lose-11→ 1711
Alikhan VakhaevNow 1738
If they win+15→ 1753
If they lose-17→ 1721

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
1.82
Takedown avg.
TBD
47%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
38%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.95
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aleksei OleinikAlikhan Vakhaev
1700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (13%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
48 (79%)
Submission
1 (6%)
5 (8%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Alikhan Vakhaev92%
Aleksei Oleinik 8%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Alikhan Vakhaev a 92% favorite over Aleksei Oleinik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Alikhan Vakhaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1738 to 1722, a 16-point edge.

Alikhan Vakhaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Alikhan Vakhaev 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.