Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksei Oleinik vs Anthony Hamilton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

61-18-1Record21-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
80"Reach76,0"
254 lbsWeight261 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Aleksei Oleinik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Anthony Hamilton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksei OleinikNow 1723
If they win+8→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1707
Anthony HamiltonNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-8→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.91
49%
Strike accuracy
66%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
44%
Strike defense
46%
1.82
Takedown avg.
2.62
47%
Takedown accuracy
42%
38%
Takedown defense
79%
1.95
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aleksei OleinikAnthony Hamilton
160016501700175020222023

Win method breakdown

8 (13%)
KO/TKO
10 (48%)
48 (79%)
Submission
2 (10%)
5 (8%)
Decision
9 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksei Oleinik60%
Anthony Hamilton 40%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksei Oleinik a 60% favorite over Anthony Hamilton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Aleksei Oleinik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1597, a 126-point edge.

Anthony Hamilton enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Anthony Hamilton 57%.

Aleksei Oleinik carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.