Aleksei Oleinik vs Chris Daukaus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
61-18-1Record12-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
80"Reach76"
254 lbsWeight205 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamTeam Balance
What's at stake
Aleksei Oleinik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Chris Daukaus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1707
If they win+21→ 1632
If they lose-11→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksei OleinikChris Daukaus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksei Oleinik68%
Chris Daukaus 32%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksei Oleinik a 68% favorite over Chris Daukaus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Aleksei Oleinik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1611, a 112-point edge.
Chris Daukaus enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Chris Daukaus 92%.
Aleksei Oleinik and Chris Daukaus share 1 common opponent: Derrick Lewis.
Aleksei Oleinik carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.