Aleksei Oleinik vs Curtis Blaydes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
61-18-1Record19-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
80"Reach80"
254 lbsWeight256 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Curtis Blaydes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Aleksei Oleinik carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1736
If they lose-10→ 1712
If they win+10→ 1778
If they lose-14→ 1754
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksei OleinikCurtis Blaydes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Curtis Blaydes79%
Aleksei Oleinik 21%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 79% favorite over Aleksei Oleinik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Curtis Blaydes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1768 to 1722, a 46-point edge.
Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Curtis Blaydes 68%.
Aleksei Oleinik and Curtis Blaydes share 2 common opponents: Chris Daukaus and Derrick Lewis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.