AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksei Oleinik vs Daniel Omielanczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

61-18-1Record26-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
80"Reach74,0"
254 lbsWeight254 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamWCA Fight Team· 1601 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

Aleksei Oleinik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Daniel Omielanczuk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksei OleinikNow 1722
If they win+8→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1706
Daniel OmielanczukNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-8→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.09
49%
Strike accuracy
57%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.29
44%
Strike defense
48%
1.82
Takedown avg.
0.56
47%
Takedown accuracy
27%
38%
Takedown defense
68%
1.95
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Aleksei OleinikDaniel Omielanczuk
1600165017001750202120222023

Win method breakdown

8 (13%)
KO/TKO
6 (23%)
48 (79%)
Submission
10 (38%)
5 (8%)
Decision
10 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksei Oleinik73%
Daniel Omielanczuk 27%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksei Oleinik a 73% favorite over Daniel Omielanczuk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Aleksei Oleinik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1722 to 1613, a 109-point edge.

Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Omielanczuk 62%.

Aleksei Oleinik carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.