Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksei Oleinik vs Daniel Omielanczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

61-18-1Record26-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
80"Reach74,0"
254 lbsWeight254 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamWCA Fight Team

What's at stake

Aleksei Oleinik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Daniel Omielanczuk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksei OleinikNow 1723
If they win+8→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1707
Daniel OmielanczukNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-8→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.09
49%
Strike accuracy
57%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.29
44%
Strike defense
48%
1.82
Takedown avg.
0.56
47%
Takedown accuracy
27%
38%
Takedown defense
68%
1.95
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Aleksei OleinikDaniel Omielanczuk
1600165017001750202120222023

Win method breakdown

8 (13%)
KO/TKO
6 (23%)
48 (79%)
Submission
10 (38%)
5 (8%)
Decision
10 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksei Oleinik58%
Daniel Omielanczuk 42%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksei Oleinik a 58% favorite over Daniel Omielanczuk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Aleksei Oleinik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1614, a 109-point edge.

Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Omielanczuk 62%.

Aleksei Oleinik carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.