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Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksei Oleinik vs Ilir Latifi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ilir Latifi
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Ilir Latifi

“The Sledgehammer”

16-9-0HeavyweightUFC

1667Good

Tale of the tape

61-18-1Record16-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
80"Reach73"
254 lbsWeight250 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamAllstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Aleksei Oleinik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ilir Latifi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksei OleinikNow 1722
If they win+10→ 1732
If they lose-14→ 1708
Ilir LatifiNow 1667
If they win+19→ 1686
If they lose-13→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
2.05
49%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
44%
Strike defense
56%
1.82
Takedown avg.
2.11
47%
Takedown accuracy
36%
38%
Takedown defense
100%
1.95
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Aleksei OleinikIlir Latifi
16501700175020222023

Win method breakdown

8 (13%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
48 (79%)
Submission
4 (25%)
5 (8%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksei Oleinik60%
Ilir Latifi 40%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksei Oleinik a 60% favorite over Ilir Latifi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Aleksei Oleinik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1722 to 1667, a 55-point edge.

Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Ilir Latifi 63%.

Aleksei Oleinik and Ilir Latifi share 1 common opponent: Derrick Lewis.

Aleksei Oleinik carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2020
Derrick Lewis
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020