Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksei Oleinik vs Ilir Latifi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ilir Latifi
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Ilir Latifi

“The Sledgehammer”

16-9-0HeavyweightUFC

1667Good

Tale of the tape

61-18-1Record16-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
80"Reach73"
254 lbsWeight250 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

Aleksei Oleinik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ilir Latifi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksei OleinikNow 1723
If they win+10→ 1733
If they lose-14→ 1709
Ilir LatifiNow 1667
If they win+19→ 1686
If they lose-13→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
2.05
49%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
44%
Strike defense
56%
1.82
Takedown avg.
2.11
47%
Takedown accuracy
36%
38%
Takedown defense
100%
1.95
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Aleksei OleinikIlir Latifi
16501700175020222023

Win method breakdown

8 (13%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
48 (79%)
Submission
4 (25%)
5 (8%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Ilir Latifi54%
Aleksei Oleinik 46%Elo baseline: 42%

The Combat Edge model makes Ilir Latifi a 54% favorite over Aleksei Oleinik in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aleksei Oleinik's way (42%).

Aleksei Oleinik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1667, a 56-point edge.

Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Ilir Latifi 63%.

Aleksei Oleinik and Ilir Latifi share 1 common opponent: Derrick Lewis.

Aleksei Oleinik carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2020
Derrick Lewis
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020