Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksei Oleinik vs Junior Albini

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

61-18-1Record17-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
80"Reach42,0"
254 lbsWeight265 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamAstra Fight Team

What's at stake

Aleksei Oleinik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Junior Albini carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksei OleinikNow 1723
If they win+9→ 1732
If they lose-15→ 1708
Junior AlbiniNow 1641
If they win+20→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.98
49%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.08
44%
Strike defense
52%
1.82
Takedown avg.
1.54
47%
Takedown accuracy
38%
38%
Takedown defense
100%
1.95
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aleksei OleinikJunior Albini
16001650170017502020202120222023

Win method breakdown

8 (13%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
48 (79%)
Submission
6 (35%)
5 (8%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aleksei Oleinik and Junior Albini within a point of even.

Aleksei Oleinik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1641, a 82-point edge.

Junior Albini enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Junior Albini 88%.

Aleksei Oleinik and Junior Albini share 1 common opponent: Maurice Greene.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2020
Maurice Greene
LossTKO · 2019