Aleksei Oleinik vs Mark Hunt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
61-18-1Record13-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
80"Reach72"
254 lbsWeight265 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Aleksei Oleinik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Mark Hunt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1732
If they lose-15→ 1708
If they win+15→ 1640
If they lose-9→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksei OleinikMark Hunt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksei Oleinik78%
Mark Hunt 22%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksei Oleinik a 78% favorite over Mark Hunt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Aleksei Oleinik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1625, a 98-point edge.
Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Mark Hunt 77%.
Aleksei Oleinik and Mark Hunt share 2 common opponents: Derrick Lewis and Fabrício Werdum.
Aleksei Oleinik carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.