Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksei Oleinik vs Maurice Greene

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

61-18-1Record11-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'7"
80"ReachTBD
254 lbsWeight262 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Aleksei Oleinik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Maurice Greene carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksei OleinikNow 1722
If they win+8→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1706
Maurice GreeneNow 1595
If they win+22→ 1617
If they lose-10→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
49%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.61
44%
Strike defense
46%
1.82
Takedown avg.
0
47%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
38%
Takedown defense
27%
1.95
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Aleksei OleinikMaurice Greene
1600165017001750202120222023

Win method breakdown

8 (13%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
48 (79%)
Submission
6 (55%)
5 (8%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksei Oleinik60%
Maurice Greene 40%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksei Oleinik a 60% favorite over Maurice Greene in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Aleksei Oleinik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1722 to 1595, a 127-point edge.

Maurice Greene enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Maurice Greene 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.