Aleksei Oleinik vs Maxim Grishin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
61-18-1Record33-10-2
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
80"ReachTBD
254 lbsWeight205 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1734
If they lose-12→ 1710
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksei OleinikMaxim Grishin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maxim Grishin70%
Aleksei Oleinik 30%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Maxim Grishin a 70% favorite over Aleksei Oleinik in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aleksei Oleinik's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1722 vs 1710), separated by just 12 points.
Maxim Grishin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Maxim Grishin 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.