Aleksei Oleinik vs Sergey Bilostenniy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
61-18-1Record15-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
80"Reach75"
254 lbsWeight262 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamRaty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1734
If they lose-12→ 1710
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksei OleinikSergey Bilostenniy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergey Bilostenniy71%
Aleksei Oleinik 29%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergey Bilostenniy a 71% favorite over Aleksei Oleinik in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aleksei Oleinik's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1722 vs 1715), separated by just 7 points.
Sergey Bilostenniy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Bilostenniy 73%.
Aleksei Oleinik and Sergey Bilostenniy share 1 common opponent: Fernando Rodrigues Jr..
Aleksei Oleinik carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinSubmission (Arm Triangle Choke) · 2023
WinDecision (Split) · 2022