Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksei Oleinik vs Travis Browne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

61-18-1Record18-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'7"
80"Reach79,0"
254 lbsWeight244 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamGlendale Fighting Club

What's at stake

Aleksei Oleinik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Travis Browne carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksei OleinikNow 1723
If they win+11→ 1734
If they lose-13→ 1710
Travis BrowneNow 1696
If they win+13→ 1709
If they lose-11→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
49%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.31
44%
Strike defense
43%
1.82
Takedown avg.
1.21
47%
Takedown accuracy
69%
38%
Takedown defense
75%
1.95
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Aleksei OleinikTravis Browne
17001750201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

8 (13%)
KO/TKO
14 (78%)
48 (79%)
Submission
2 (11%)
5 (8%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Travis Browne60%
Aleksei Oleinik 40%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Travis Browne a 60% favorite over Aleksei Oleinik in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aleksei Oleinik's way (46%).

Aleksei Oleinik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1696, a 27-point edge.

Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Travis Browne 89%.

Aleksei Oleinik and Travis Browne share 2 common opponents: Derrick Lewis and Fabrício Werdum.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossTKO · 2020
Derrick Lewis
LossKO/TKO · 2017
WinDecision (split) · 2020
Fabrício Werdum
LossDEC · 2016
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2014