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Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksei Oleinik vs Viktor Pesta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

61-18-1Record19-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
80"ReachTBD
254 lbsWeight205 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Aleksei Oleinik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Viktor Pesta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksei OleinikNow 1722
If they win+9→ 1731
If they lose-15→ 1707
Viktor PestaNow 1638
If they win+15→ 1653
If they lose-9→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
1.58
49%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.54
44%
Strike defense
57%
1.82
Takedown avg.
3.29
47%
Takedown accuracy
29%
38%
Takedown defense
100%
1.95
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aleksei OleinikViktor Pesta
165017001750202120222023

Win method breakdown

8 (13%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
48 (79%)
Submission
7 (37%)
5 (8%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksei Oleinik61%
Viktor Pesta 39%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksei Oleinik a 61% favorite over Viktor Pesta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Aleksei Oleinik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1722 to 1638, a 84-point edge.

Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Viktor Pesta 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.