Alen Amedovski vs Joseph Holmes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'4"
74"Reach 80"
185 lbsWeight189 lbs
American Top Team RomeTeamWAR Training Center
What's at stake
Joseph Holmes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Alen Amedovski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1563
If they lose-19→ 1515
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-20→ 1593
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alen AmedovskiJoseph Holmes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Holmes78%
Alen Amedovski 22%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Holmes a 78% favorite over Alen Amedovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Joseph Holmes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1534, a 79-point edge.
Alen Amedovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Joseph Holmes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alen Amedovski finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Holmes 100%.
Joseph Holmes carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.