AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Alessandro Capone vs Shannon Gugerty

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-7-0Record15-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Warriors MilanoTeamVictory MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alessandro CaponeNow 1535
If they win+16→ 1551
If they lose-16→ 1519
Shannon GugertyNow 1534
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.25
Not available
Strike accuracy
39%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.88
Not available
Strike defense
58%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.13
Not available
Takedown accuracy
28%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
3.41

Trajectory

Alessandro CaponeShannon Gugerty
1500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
3 (38%)
Submission
11 (73%)
3 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Shannon Gugerty56%
Alessandro Capone 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shannon Gugerty a 56% favorite over Alessandro Capone in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alessandro Capone's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1535 vs 1534), separated by just 1 points.

Alessandro Capone enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alessandro Capone finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Shannon Gugerty 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.