Alessandro Costa vs Alex Perez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record26-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam Oyama· 1650 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alessandro CostaAlex Perez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alessandro Costa60%
Alex Perez 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alessandro Costa a 60% favorite over Alex Perez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Perez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1707), separated by just 2 points.
Alessandro Costa enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alessandro Costa finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Alex Perez 54%.
Alessandro Costa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.