Model win probabilities for every bout on Contender Series 2026: Week 2 (August 18, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Roman Puga won
61%Taner Trembley39%Roman Puga
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 60% / 40%
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