Combat Edge Intelligence

Alessandro Costa vs Alibi Idiris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record11-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamErkin Kush· 1702 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alessandro CostaNow 1705
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689
Alibi IdirisNow 1699
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
47%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.60
57%
Strike defense
54%
0.77
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
86%
Takedown defense
60%
0.38
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alessandro CostaAlibi Idiris
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
7 (41%)
Submission
2 (18%)
3 (18%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Alessandro Costa53%
Alibi Idiris 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Alessandro Costa a 53% favorite over Alibi Idiris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1699), separated by just 6 points.

Alessandro Costa enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alessandro Costa finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Alibi Idiris 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.