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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alessandro Costa vs Davi Bittencourt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record17-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1722 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamJosue Fight Boxing School

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alessandro CostaNow 1705
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689
Davi BittencourtNow 1701
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
47%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
57%
Strike defense
Not available
0.77
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
86%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.38
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alessandro CostaDavi Bittencourt
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
7 (41%)
Submission
7 (41%)
3 (18%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Alessandro Costa63%
Davi Bittencourt 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Alessandro Costa a 63% favorite over Davi Bittencourt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1701), separated by just 4 points.

Alessandro Costa enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Davi Bittencourt enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alessandro Costa finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Davi Bittencourt 82%.

Alessandro Costa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.