Alessandro Costa vs Edgar Cháirez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record14-7-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach71"
125 lbsWeight131 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1722 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamEntram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 rated
What's at stake
Alessandro Costa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Edgar Cháirez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1718
If they lose-19→ 1686
If they win+19→ 1654
If they lose-13→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alessandro CostaEdgar Cháirez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alessandro Costa68%
Edgar Cháirez 32%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Alessandro Costa a 68% favorite over Edgar Cháirez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Alessandro Costa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1635, a 70-point edge.
Alessandro Costa enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alessandro Costa finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Edgar Cháirez 93%.
Edgar Cháirez carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.