Alessandro Costa vs Kevin Borjas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record11-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPitbull Martial Arts Center· 1700 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Alessandro Costa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Kevin Borjas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1718
If they lose-19→ 1686
If they win+19→ 1656
If they lose-13→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1623 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alessandro CostaKevin Borjas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alessandro Costa71%
Kevin Borjas 29%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Alessandro Costa a 71% favorite over Kevin Borjas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Alessandro Costa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1637, a 68-point edge.
Alessandro Costa enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alessandro Costa finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Borjas 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.