Alessandro Costa vs Kevin Borjas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record11-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1722 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamPitbull Martial Arts Center· 1672 avg Elo · 11 rated
What's at stake
Alessandro Costa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Kevin Borjas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-20→ 1686
If they win+20→ 1644
If they lose-12→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alessandro CostaKevin Borjas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alessandro Costa54%
Kevin Borjas 46%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Alessandro Costa a 54% favorite over Kevin Borjas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Alessandro Costa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1624, a 82-point edge.
Alessandro Costa enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alessandro Costa finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Borjas 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.