Alessandro Costa vs Marcos Degli
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record15-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1725 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamVale Top Team· 1670 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alessandro CostaMarcos Degli
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alessandro Costa63%
Marcos Degli 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alessandro Costa a 63% favorite over Marcos Degli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcos Degli's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1712), separated by just 6 points.
Alessandro Costa enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Marcos Degli enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Alessandro Costa finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Degli 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.