Alessandro Ortolani vs Harda Karim
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record5-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'6"
-Reach71.5"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Harda Karim is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Alessandro Ortolani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1533
If they lose-22→ 1485
If they win+22→ 1553
If they lose-26→ 1505
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alessandro OrtolaniHarda Karim
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alessandro Ortolani64%
Harda Karim 36%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Alessandro Ortolani a 64% favorite over Harda Karim in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Harda Karim's way (47%).
Harda Karim holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1507, a 24-point edge.
Harda Karim enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alessandro Ortolani finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Harda Karim 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.