Alessandro Ricci vs Cristiano Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record2-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
69.00Reach70"
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
M-1 Thai BoxingTeamPortugal Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1498
If they lose-24→ 1450
If they win+24→ 1498
If they lose-24→ 1450
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alessandro RicciCristiano Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cristiano Oliveira75%
Alessandro Ricci 25%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 75% favorite over Alessandro Ricci in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alessandro Ricci's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1474 vs 1474), separated by just 0 points.
Alessandro Ricci enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alessandro Ricci finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.