Alessandro Ricci vs Paul Felder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
69.00Reach70,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
M-1 Thai BoxingTeamRoufusport
What's at stake
Paul Felder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Alessandro Ricci carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+39→ 1513
If they lose-9→ 1465
If they win+4→ 1738
If they lose-20→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alessandro RicciPaul Felder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Felder83%
Alessandro Ricci 17%Elo baseline: 82%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Felder a 83% favorite over Alessandro Ricci in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (82%).
Paul Felder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1474, a 260-point edge.
Alessandro Ricci enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Paul Felder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alessandro Ricci finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Paul Felder 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.