Combat Edge Intelligence

Alessandro Ricci vs Taisei Mizusugi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record6-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
69.00Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
M-1 Thai BoxingTeamblooM

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alessandro RicciNow 1474
If they win+24→ 1498
If they lose-24→ 1450
Taisei MizusugiNow 1470
If they win+16→ 1486
If they lose-16→ 1454

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.48
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alessandro RicciTaisei Mizusugi
1400145015002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (17%)
5 (50%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Taisei Mizusugi75%
Alessandro Ricci 25%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Taisei Mizusugi a 75% favorite over Alessandro Ricci in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alessandro Ricci's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1474 vs 1470), separated by just 4 points.

Alessandro Ricci enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alessandro Ricci finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Taisei Mizusugi 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.