Combat Edge Intelligence

Alessio Di Chirico vs Eric Spicely

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eric Spicely
us

Eric Spicely

“Zebrinha”

13-9-0MiddleweightCES

1537Average

Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record13-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"Reach73,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Gloria Fight CenterTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

Alessio Di Chirico is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Eric Spicely carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alessio Di ChiricoNow 1581
If they win+14→ 1595
If they lose-18→ 1563
Eric SpicelyNow 1537
If they win+18→ 1555
If they lose-14→ 1523

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.32
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
40%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.72
62%
Strike defense
56%
1.46
Takedown avg.
1.31
39%
Takedown accuracy
20%
83%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0.98

Trajectory

Alessio Di ChiricoEric Spicely
155016002020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
4 (31%)
Submission
7 (54%)
3 (23%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Alessio Di Chirico72%
Eric Spicely 28%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Alessio Di Chirico a 72% favorite over Eric Spicely in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Alessio Di Chirico holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1581 to 1537, a 44-point edge.

Alessio Di Chirico enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alessio Di Chirico finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Eric Spicely 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.