Combat Edge Intelligence

Alessio Di Chirico vs Joaquin Buckley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record21-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
74"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gloria Fight CenterTeamMurcielago MMA

What's at stake

Joaquin Buckley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Alessio Di Chirico carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alessio Di ChiricoNow 1581
If they win+23→ 1604
If they lose-9→ 1572
Joaquin BuckleyNow 1755
If they win+6→ 1761
If they lose-18→ 1737

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.32
Sig. strikes / min
3.88
40%
Strike accuracy
37%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
62%
Strike defense
59%
1.46
Takedown avg.
1.54
39%
Takedown accuracy
45%
83%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Alessio Di ChiricoJoaquin Buckley
16001650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
15 (71%)
4 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (23%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Joaquin Buckley92%
Alessio Di Chirico 8%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Joaquin Buckley a 92% favorite over Alessio Di Chirico in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Joaquin Buckley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1581, a 174-point edge.

Alessio Di Chirico enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joaquin Buckley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alessio Di Chirico finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Joaquin Buckley 71%.

Joaquin Buckley carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.