Alessio Di Chirico vs Kevin Holland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record29-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74"Reach81"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Gloria Fight CenterTeamPhalanx MMA Academy
What's at stake
Kevin Holland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Alessio Di Chirico carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1605
If they lose-9→ 1573
If they win+7→ 1743
If they lose-17→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1740 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alessio Di ChiricoKevin Holland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Holland90%
Alessio Di Chirico 10%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Holland a 90% favorite over Alessio Di Chirico in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Kevin Holland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1582, a 154-point edge.
Alessio Di Chirico enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alessio Di Chirico finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Holland 79%.
Kevin Holland carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.