Combat Edge Intelligence

Alessio Di Chirico vs Makhmud Muradov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record30-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Gloria Fight CenterTeamAnkos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Makhmud Muradov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Alessio Di Chirico carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alessio Di ChiricoNow 1581
If they win+23→ 1604
If they lose-9→ 1572
Makhmud MuradovNow 1736
If they win+7→ 1743
If they lose-17→ 1719

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.32
Sig. strikes / min
4.21
40%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
62%
Strike defense
61%
1.46
Takedown avg.
3.03
39%
Takedown accuracy
0%
83%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Alessio Di ChiricoMakhmud Muradov
16001650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
19 (63%)
4 (31%)
Submission
3 (10%)
3 (23%)
Decision
8 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Makhmud Muradov92%
Alessio Di Chirico 8%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Makhmud Muradov a 92% favorite over Alessio Di Chirico in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Makhmud Muradov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1581, a 155-point edge.

Alessio Di Chirico enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Makhmud Muradov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Alessio Di Chirico finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Makhmud Muradov 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.