Combat Edge Intelligence

Alessio Di Chirico vs Roman Kopylov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record15-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Gloria Fight CenterTeamRaty Team

What's at stake

Roman Kopylov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alessio Di Chirico carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alessio Di ChiricoNow 1581
If they win+22→ 1603
If they lose-10→ 1571
Roman KopylovNow 1712
If they win+10→ 1722
If they lose-22→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.32
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
40%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.18
62%
Strike defense
52%
1.46
Takedown avg.
1.14
39%
Takedown accuracy
48%
83%
Takedown defense
89%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alessio Di ChiricoRoman Kopylov
1600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
12 (80%)
4 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (23%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Kopylov80%
Alessio Di Chirico 20%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Kopylov a 80% favorite over Alessio Di Chirico in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Roman Kopylov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1581, a 131-point edge.

Alessio Di Chirico enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roman Kopylov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alessio Di Chirico finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Roman Kopylov 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.