Combat Edge Intelligence

Alessio Di Chirico vs Zak Cummings

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record25-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gloria Fight CenterTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Zak Cummings is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Alessio Di Chirico carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alessio Di ChiricoNow 1581
If they win+23→ 1604
If they lose-9→ 1572
Zak CummingsNow 1739
If they win+7→ 1746
If they lose-17→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.32
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
40%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
62%
Strike defense
55%
1.46
Takedown avg.
0.62
39%
Takedown accuracy
28%
83%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Alessio Di ChiricoZak Cummings
16001650170017502020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
4 (31%)
Submission
12 (48%)
3 (23%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Zak Cummings78%
Alessio Di Chirico 22%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Zak Cummings a 78% favorite over Alessio Di Chirico in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Zak Cummings holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1581, a 158-point edge.

Alessio Di Chirico enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Zak Cummings enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alessio Di Chirico finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Zak Cummings 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.