Alessio Sakara vs Brian Stann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-13-0Record12-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Brian Stann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alessio Sakara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1565
If they lose-7→ 1541
If they win+10→ 1695
If they lose-22→ 1663
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alessio SakaraBrian Stann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Stann72%
Alessio Sakara 28%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stann a 72% favorite over Alessio Sakara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Brian Stann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1548, a 137-point edge.
Brian Stann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alessio Sakara finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Brian Stann 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.