Combat Edge Intelligence

Alessio Sakara vs Drew McFedries

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alessio Sakara
it

Alessio Sakara

“Legionarius”

21-13-0Light HeavyweightBFC

1548Average

Tale of the tape

21-13-0Record12-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamChampions Gym

What's at stake

Drew McFedries is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Alessio Sakara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alessio SakaraNow 1548
If they win+13→ 1561
If they lose-11→ 1537
Drew McFedriesNow 1586
If they win+14→ 1600
If they lose-18→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.96
Sig. strikes / min
5.13
48%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.56
59%
Strike defense
52%
2.18
Takedown avg.
1.42
79%
Takedown accuracy
100%
63%
Takedown defense
56%
0
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Alessio SakaraDrew McFedries
15501600201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

15 (71%)
KO/TKO
11 (92%)
2 (10%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (19%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Drew McFedries56%
Alessio Sakara 44%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Drew McFedries a 56% favorite over Alessio Sakara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Drew McFedries holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1586 to 1548, a 38-point edge.

Drew McFedries enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alessio Sakara finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Drew McFedries 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.