Combat Edge Intelligence

Alessio Sakara vs Elvis Sinosic

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alessio Sakara
it

Alessio Sakara

“Legionarius”

21-13-0Light HeavyweightBFC

1548Average
Elvis Sinosic
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Elvis Sinosic

“The King of Rock n Rumble”

7-11-2Light HeavyweightCR

1475Average

Tale of the tape

21-13-0Record7-11-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight199 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

Alessio Sakara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Elvis Sinosic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alessio SakaraNow 1548
If they win+10→ 1558
If they lose-14→ 1534
Elvis SinosicNow 1475
If they win+19→ 1494
If they lose-13→ 1462

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.96
Sig. strikes / min
1.13
48%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.60
59%
Strike defense
53%
2.18
Takedown avg.
0
79%
Takedown accuracy
0%
63%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
1.23

Trajectory

Alessio SakaraElvis Sinosic
1500155020062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

15 (71%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
2 (10%)
Submission
3 (43%)
4 (19%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Alessio Sakara76%
Elvis Sinosic 24%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Alessio Sakara a 76% favorite over Elvis Sinosic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Alessio Sakara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1548 to 1475, a 73-point edge.

Elvis Sinosic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alessio Sakara finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Elvis Sinosic 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.