Alessio Sakara vs James Irvin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-13-0Record17-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamReign MMA
What's at stake
Alessio Sakara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — James Irvin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1557
If they lose-14→ 1533
If they win+19→ 1499
If they lose-13→ 1467
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alessio SakaraJames Irvin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alessio Sakara52%
James Irvin 48%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Alessio Sakara a 52% favorite over James Irvin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Alessio Sakara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1547 to 1480, a 67-point edge.
Alessio Sakara finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, James Irvin 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.