Alessio Sakara vs James Lee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-13-0Record15-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMash Fight Team
What's at stake
James Lee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alessio Sakara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1564
If they lose-7→ 1540
If they win+10→ 1703
If they lose-22→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alessio SakaraJames Lee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Lee67%
Alessio Sakara 33%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes James Lee a 67% favorite over Alessio Sakara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
James Lee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1547, a 146-point edge.
James Lee enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Alessio Sakara finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, James Lee 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.