Alessio Sakara vs Joe Vedepo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-13-0Record20-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTBD
What's at stake
Joe Vedepo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alessio Sakara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1561
If they lose-11→ 1537
If they win+11→ 1579
If they lose-13→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alessio SakaraJoe Vedepo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Vedepo60%
Alessio Sakara 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Vedepo a 60% favorite over Alessio Sakara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Joe Vedepo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1568 to 1548, a 20-point edge.
Joe Vedepo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alessio Sakara finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Joe Vedepo 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.