Alessio Sakara vs Moacir Rocha
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-13-0Record14-10-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight181 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBabuino Gold Team· 1559 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1559
If they lose-12→ 1535
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alessio SakaraMoacir Rocha
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Moacir Rocha68%
Alessio Sakara 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Moacir Rocha a 68% favorite over Alessio Sakara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alessio Sakara's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1546), separated by just 1 points.
Moacir Rocha enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alessio Sakara finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Moacir Rocha 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.