Alessio Sakara vs Nico Musoke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-13-0Record16-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach75.00
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAllstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1560
If they lose-12→ 1536
If they win+15→ 1576
If they lose-17→ 1544
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alessio SakaraNico Musoke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nico Musoke70%
Alessio Sakara 30%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Nico Musoke a 70% favorite over Alessio Sakara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1561), separated by just 13 points.
Nico Musoke enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alessio Sakara finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Nico Musoke 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.