Alessio Sakara vs Patrick Cote
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-13-0Record23-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBTT Canada
What's at stake
Patrick Cote is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Alessio Sakara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1566
If they lose-6→ 1542
If they win+6→ 1734
If they lose-18→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alessio SakaraPatrick Cote
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Cote82%
Alessio Sakara 18%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Cote a 82% favorite over Alessio Sakara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Patrick Cote holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1548, a 180-point edge.
Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alessio Sakara finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cote 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.