Alessio Sakara vs Thales Leites
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-13-0Record28-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach78,0"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Thales Leites is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Alessio Sakara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1566
If they lose-6→ 1542
If they win+6→ 1751
If they lose-18→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alessio SakaraThales Leites
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thales Leites88%
Alessio Sakara 12%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Thales Leites a 88% favorite over Alessio Sakara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Thales Leites holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1548, a 197-point edge.
Alessio Sakara finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Thales Leites 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.