Alessio Sakara vs Victor Valimaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-13-0Record18-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight233 lbs
American Top TeamTeamComplete Fitness and Martial Arts
What's at stake
Victor Valimaki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alessio Sakara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1560
If they lose-11→ 1536
If they win+11→ 1596
If they lose-13→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alessio SakaraVictor Valimaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Victor Valimaki66%
Alessio Sakara 34%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Victor Valimaki a 66% favorite over Alessio Sakara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Victor Valimaki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1585 to 1547, a 38-point edge.
Victor Valimaki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alessio Sakara finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Victor Valimaki 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.