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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Andrade vs Ruslan Gabaraev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Andrade
us

Alex Andrade

“El Toro”

10-5-0Light HeavyweightLion's Den Texas

1591Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record7-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
200 lbsWeight205 lbs
Lion's DenTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex AndradeNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Ruslan GabaraevNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alex AndradeRuslan Gabaraev
1550160016502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
2 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (30%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Gabaraev69%
Alex Andrade 31%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Gabaraev a 69% favorite over Alex Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Andrade's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1591), separated by just 0 points.

Alex Andrade enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alex Andrade finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Gabaraev 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.