Alex Andrade vs Tuco Tokkos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
TBDReach76"
200 lbsWeight205 lbs
Lion's DenTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex AndradeTuco Tokkos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tuco Tokkos59%
Alex Andrade 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tuco Tokkos a 59% favorite over Alex Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1592), separated by just 1 points.
Alex Andrade enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alex Andrade finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.