Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Apodaca vs Colleen Schneider

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record11-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight132 lbs
Tiger Beetle Martial ArtsTeamCMMA

What's at stake

Alex Apodaca is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Colleen Schneider carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex ApodacaNow 1578
If they win+23→ 1601
If they lose-25→ 1553
Colleen SchneiderNow 1562
If they win+17→ 1579
If they lose-15→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alex ApodacaColleen Schneider
150015501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (27%)
4 (100%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Apodaca84%
Colleen Schneider 16%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Apodaca a 84% favorite over Colleen Schneider in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Alex Apodaca holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1578 to 1562, a 16-point edge.

Alex Apodaca enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Alex Apodaca finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Colleen Schneider 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.