Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Apodaca vs Edwin Figueroa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record9-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71.5"ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex ApodacaNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Edwin FigueroaNow 1551
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.20
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
37%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Alex ApodacaEdwin Figueroa
150015502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (22%)
3 (100%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Apodaca60%
Edwin Figueroa 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Apodaca a 60% favorite over Edwin Figueroa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1551), separated by just 0 points.

Alex Apodaca enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Edwin Figueroa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Alex Apodaca finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Edwin Figueroa 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.